Brilliant work JS. Have you looked at the HMD shinyapp tool that compares rates of death from year to year? I posit that it shows a safety signal from weeks 17 to 47 of 2021, and it's the elderly who dosed up on the jab preceeding and during that time frame. The Stats NZ data, seen at their Covid-19 portal, which is the source for the HMD, shows the same.
Thanks! This is the first time I've looked seriously at any New Zealand data - purely because of all the controversy after the leak, and everyone shouting at each other on TwiX. I usually stick to UK data because I've tracked the UK story throughout this fiasco.
I just took a look at the Stats NZ portal. It's interesting that they claim declining mortality rates for their population-wide 80-84 and 85-89 cohorts - the opposite of what I've concluded based on the partial data leak. Colour me sceptical - this is why we need full transparency.
Dec 19, 2023·edited Dec 19, 2023Liked by John Sullivan
Still no one has refuted this - and not for lack of trying. You have them running scared with this analysis. Please keep up the fight - a lot of us are cheering you on!
Yes there has been some decline in certain cohorts depending on the time frame employed. Stats NZ provide data going back to 1991 showing declining death rates, until 2022 and 2023. This is obtained from the Infoshare portal. The latest annual figure was End September 2023. I also calculate the annualised weekly death rates since September, based on their Covid19 portal. This shows all the older cohorts have death rates higher than the pre pandemic trend and ihigher than the bad flu year of 2019. Of course, one would expect a lull in the winter of 2023, given the die off in the older cohorts since 2021, but they were particularly high in summer of 22/23, against all previous trends and have tracked up again in recent weeks as we enter the summer of 23/24. I have a few charts I could show you to confirm this. Bear in mind that it takes 4-6 weeks for all death registrations to be processed for any given week.
Brilliant work JS. Have you looked at the HMD shinyapp tool that compares rates of death from year to year? I posit that it shows a safety signal from weeks 17 to 47 of 2021, and it's the elderly who dosed up on the jab preceeding and during that time frame. The Stats NZ data, seen at their Covid-19 portal, which is the source for the HMD, shows the same.
Terry
Thanks! This is the first time I've looked seriously at any New Zealand data - purely because of all the controversy after the leak, and everyone shouting at each other on TwiX. I usually stick to UK data because I've tracked the UK story throughout this fiasco.
I just took a look at the Stats NZ portal. It's interesting that they claim declining mortality rates for their population-wide 80-84 and 85-89 cohorts - the opposite of what I've concluded based on the partial data leak. Colour me sceptical - this is why we need full transparency.
Still no one has refuted this - and not for lack of trying. You have them running scared with this analysis. Please keep up the fight - a lot of us are cheering you on!
Thanks for your support - much appreciated.
Hi John,
Yes there has been some decline in certain cohorts depending on the time frame employed. Stats NZ provide data going back to 1991 showing declining death rates, until 2022 and 2023. This is obtained from the Infoshare portal. The latest annual figure was End September 2023. I also calculate the annualised weekly death rates since September, based on their Covid19 portal. This shows all the older cohorts have death rates higher than the pre pandemic trend and ihigher than the bad flu year of 2019. Of course, one would expect a lull in the winter of 2023, given the die off in the older cohorts since 2021, but they were particularly high in summer of 22/23, against all previous trends and have tracked up again in recent weeks as we enter the summer of 23/24. I have a few charts I could show you to confirm this. Bear in mind that it takes 4-6 weeks for all death registrations to be processed for any given week.
Regards.